Saturday, February 20, 2010

America's Jilted Lover In New Delhi

Pakistan army chief General Ashfaq Parvez Kayani has offered to train the Afghan army. This is part of a list of demands – not all of them made public – that seek to correct a basic American mistake: While courting Pakistan as an ally, Washington secretly empowered India.

Until last month, Washington was hoping that India’s relatively cheaper soldiers will come handy where the Europeans won’t, and that a bungled Afghan project could be continued on, well, a leaner budget.

Washington is now in the process of correcting this mistake. And not because of any real change in heart. It’s just that Islamabad is reasserting itself.

This has sent alarm bells ringing in New Delhi. And within the pro-Indian media in Washington.

Exhibit A: an op-ed in the Wall Street Journal, Let India Train the Afghan Army, written by Indian analyst Sumit Ganguly on Feb. 14. The op-ed could have been written in the national security adviser’s office in New Delhi. The talking points might as well have originated there.

Mr. Ganguly basically begs Washington to consider the Indian army for a role in Afghanistan. Not doing that, he warns, would amount to ‘a grave strategic error’. The op-ed actually ends with these three words.

The Indian analyst sounded almost desperate with his pushy sales pitch [Example: India’s army enjoys ‘an optimal "teeth to tail" ratio, specifically trained in counterinsurgency operations’].

But there are genuine reasons why Mr. Ganguly’s idea is a bad one.

India is one of the reasons for the US debacle in Afghanistan. Back in 2002, self-styled Indian experts on Pakistan and Afghanistan convinced Washington that India can provide better intelligence on extremist groups than the double-dealing Pakistanis. Washington listened. The Bush White House and Pentagon were more than happy to buy Indian theories on who to deal with inside Afghanistan and how to keep Pakistan at bay.

Partly due to this (ill) advice, discredited Afghan warlords were brought on board. Indian intelligence agents were given a lot of space in Afghanistan. New Delhi used this space against Pakistan. Not all of the terrorism inside Pakistan over the past five years is the result of Taliban and al-Qaeda.

Indians misled the Americans not just on the ground in Afghanistan but also in the corridors of Washington’s think tanks. Indian experts offered provocative ideas on how Pakistan is ripe for a redrawing of borders along alleged linguistic and ethnic fault lines, a la Iraq. Bush-era Washington listened eagerly as Indian experts promoted the idea of using these fault lines as a negotiating card with Pakistan to secure its cooperation. This is how a separatist insurgency in Pakistan’s Balochistan province was born in 2005.

Needless to say, Indian involvement backfired. Spices are not good in every dish.

As the Indian fingerprints became clearer, a feeling grew among Pakistanis that Washington took Pakistan for a ride since 2002. Never before in the half-century of US-Pakistani relations has anti-Americanism been this high in Pakistan. It’s totally unheard of.

Now Washington is realizing its mistake and adjusting its Afghan policy accordingly. The United States must not be distracted again.

No one in Washington is really enthusiastic about the Pakistani offer to train the Afghan army. You will not see Wall Street Journal publishing an op-ed advocating Pakistan’s viewpoint anytime soon. But this festering anti-Pakistanism in the US media should give way to a new way of looking at Pakistan, America’s demonized ally.

14 comments:

  1. I'ld love Gen Pervez Kyani to move on & train the Afghan Army in the way that USA is satisfied.

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  2. This is an email I received from Mr. Iqbal Qadir. Interesting analysis. Here goes:

    1. Historically, Afghanistan had balanced the Soviet and Iranian power by tri-angulating its relations with British India.

    2. After 1947, relationship with India continued; while relations with Pakistan were not entirely hostile as during Pakistan's wars with India, Afghanistan always maintained strict neutrality.

    3. The change started when the Taliban gained victory and India offered covert assistance to the Northern Alliance by providing military supplies (of Russian origin), training NA personnel (in Uzbekistan) and letting NA helicopters use the Indian built hospital in Uzbekistan on the Termiz River as its base for operations.

    4. After the US - Taliban failure of oil talks, in March 2001 i.e. good six months before 9/11, USA signed a defence agreement with NA, India, Uzbekistan and Russia for training and arming of Northern Alliance forces by India in Uzbekistan with Russian equipment; all paid for by USA.

    5. Incidently, Uzbekistan has been equally scared of the Taliban and the famous Uzbek war-lord of Northern Afghanistan whose forces are considered to be stronger than of Uzbekistan.

    6. It must be quite certain that after Uzbekistan became unreliable for some US interests, the Indians in civilian garb have not only continued military training of Northern Alliance forces within Afghanistan but initiated similar training of the new Afghan military and police in cohort with US and NATO.

    7. Continued US/NATO or Indian military presence would be squarely blamed on Pakistan by all the regional countries, without whose support and transit facilities it would in the past have been and would in future be impossible to maintain either such a large foreign military presence in Afghanistan or even any important influence with that country.

    Best wishes to all,

    Iqbal

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  3. Ahemd Qureshi! You are biggest jack-ass on the face of earth! Seriously you need career counseling international politics is not your cup of tea, masala recipes could be a good option!
    Pakistan has long meddled with Afghanistan affairs, and now as we are engaged in battling the Pakistan Taliban no sane strategist will recommend Pakistan to take on the burden of training Afghan paramilitary forces. Our armed forces are doing a good job of rooting out the extremists and they should stick to that!

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  4. Dear Sadia,

    I am just tired of Indian prawling Pakistani websites and posting comments using Pakistani names. Seriously. You guys are exposed. Stop it already.

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  5. From Mr. Anwar Khan via email:

    Thank you Ahmed Quraishi for defending Pakistan against the enemies propaganda onslaught.
    Regards.
    Anwar Khan

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  6. Ahmed Quraishi .... i salute u for the wonderful job u are doing ... excellent work ... let me tell u that u r one of very few who are making US and our pro US government think twice before making any move now ... we all support you. Can you please tell why you have stopped your program TSS on Aag TV ??

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  9. I am dismayed by General Kiyani also. I know many kiyanis and some are sycophants. Mush installed a man not better than him under peter principle. Pakistan is playing in the same way today as under mush. Under Mush US obtained by playing the two, pakistan vs india. Is today US doing the same ? Pakistan is digging its own grave. The pakistani nation has no understanding of the policy of musharraf or the military. Take a look how IRAN has today caught the head of JUNDULLAH in a spectacular operation. USA is SCARED of IRAN. But they also hope to prop the shia world in the hope of creating a split by undermining the sunni opinion. this may not be bad altogether. hezbollah has infact defeated US-Israel DUO as US supplied the weapons and tested the morale of shia for the war on iran. Pakistan needs to make its policy more open and tough like that of IRAN vis a vis the USA. US kangaroo courts have NOT acquitted and PAID COMPENSATION for CRIMES and TORTURE to Dr Aafia Siddiqui. USA refuses to pay in ADVANCE for services it wants. Iranians know how to IGNORE USA. They have launched a turtle into space and several satellites now. USA is destroying pakistan by fomenting corruption, terrorism and militancy. USA is backstabbing pakistan and we have not paid it in the same coin.

    This is all a failure of General Kiyani's policy.

    We must restore equality with the YANKS by making them pay for their services in ADVANCE and PAY COMPENSATION in billions like Qaddafi did for our people TORTURED by YANK BASTARDS.

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  10. Ahmed! Now that is stupid! So “Sadia” is a Pakistani name? I bet there would be thousands of Sadia’s in India or Afghanistan! You are a classic Taliban apologist who does not have an argument so he resorts to accusing of there adversaries of being Indian, Zionists or CIA agents!

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  11. Sadia [if that's really you're name, which I doubt],

    Pakistan and Afghanistan, yes, but not India. It's not an Indian name at all. Maybe some Muslims have it there. That's all.

    Stop prawling Pakistani sites, please. Stick to your business. So much poverty and health issues in India it should keep you busy and sleepless for the next 100 years.

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  12. Dear Ahmed bhai, I want you to watch an episode on THE BUCK STOPS HERE about Kashmir's stone throwers(It was aired on NDTV's "The buck stops here" n also has the bastard Omar Abdullah being interviewed on it), The Indian army now says that Pakistan is funding the stone throwers of Kashmir....Ahmed Bhai, the stone throwers of Kashmir are becoming a very big problem for the Indian army so much so that they r calling these people as "Gunless Terrorists". Indian Government/intelligentsia are now disguising its SOG officers as civilians and these kill n maim locals including an 11 day infant recently.

    You don't need to post this here brother

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  13. Hi,

    i think we should appreciate USA and India for their honest criminal efforts against Pakistan. And we should condemn our peoples who are the main tools of these countries. Social fabric of our country is very weak. People’s behalves with each other like animals. And everybody wants to be the king of jungle as it seems to be the only way to survive in our country. Corrupt and dishonest peoples have pushed our society to the extremism. Nobody sees light at the end of the tunnel. Can some one explain? How we can promote honesty, loyalty and respect for our fellow Pakistanis. And how we can restore the people’s faith for honesty and hardworking. India and usa cannot be successful without the help of our own peoples who wants to be Punjabi, Sindi, Sarhaid and Bhalochi but not Pakistani.

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  14. Ahmed,

    I am an Indian and by chance got to read this post of yours.

    Interesting to read, but not factually correct.

    And just wanted to tell that I really loved ur post.

    But just wanted to let you know that, though ur efforts are nice for you..but that is not going to work a little.
    Actually, foreign policy is much more critical and not depending on funny analysis.

    Anyways good luck with your efforts..though after few years you will be convinced, they dint work out..

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